Who Holds the American Debt
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September 15 2009, 20:22:30 UTC 11 years ago
If you owe someone a whole heck of a lot of money -- then YOU have power over THEM. To a certain extent.
My father taught me, "If you owe someone a thousand dollars, they have power over you. But if you owe someone ten million dollars, you have power over them."
At a certain point, the person who holds the debt has a vested interest in working for the success of the person who is in debt. And our relationship with China has an element of that -- China dares not completely trash our economy, which they probably could, because we owe them so much money that it's not in their best interest to do so.
Hmm...
September 15 2009, 20:36:26 UTC 11 years ago
One problem is that, beyond a certain point, debt becomes largely meaningless because it cannot be repaid -- particularly if the interest causes it to grow beyond all hope of earning enough to pay it off. People will break themselves trying to repay a debt that is almost within their reach. But if it's obviously too much, they will often shrug and say, "Screw it. There is no way to pay this off, so I'm not going to waste my effort trying." That applies to nations as well as individuals; plenty of countries have defaulted on loans. I expect America to do that eventually, as absurd as the national debt has grown.
Re: Hmm...
September 15 2009, 20:49:41 UTC 11 years ago
If we default -- it causes a level of disaster which, while not unprecidented certainly hasn't happened in the past few centuries. If the US defaults on loans, it changes EVERYTHING.
It changes everything to such an absurd degree that it's not even worth worrying about. If the US defaults on its loans, basically, society shakes up in almost unpredictible ways. My way of dealing with it would be to be good friends with my neighbors, have a hunting rifle, be a generally nice guy, and be a member of a local CSA (community supported agriculture, not Confederate States of America). There would still be as much FOOD as before, as much fuel, as many trucks and trains and people to load and run them, but the economic collapse would be so shocking that it would take a few days, even weeks, to get everything moving. The United States would certainly survive as a country, and I suspect that most of us would come through it just fine -- but our days as a world power would be over, our Federal government's ability to fund useful programs would be severely hampered, and money itself would be vastly, vastly devalued.
Basically, if the United States defaults on any of its loans, money breaks. The United States' money breaks, and any other country which is dependent on US dollars' money also breaks.
There are people who are hoarding Euros for this purpose. Not me; I don't have enough cash to make it worthwhile -- and I don't think it's likely to happen.
September 15 2009, 22:26:25 UTC 11 years ago