One is that the star may naturally not be putting out the usual smooth amount of light, which seems unlikely. It could be a very rare phenomenon, but stars have behaved in pretty predictable clusters of light emission.
Perhaps slightly more plausible than aliens is that a large rogue planet collided with a local one and created a debris cloud. Enormously rare, but there are lots of stars and junk out there.
More depressingly, this also matches the kind of "gunsmoke" cloud you get when someone uses planetbuster bombs to reduce a solar system to rubble. (A sunkiller bomb is also a possibility but unlikely because most of those work fairly fast.) This is particularly a concern because one reason for the Drake Equation yielding a sum of zero detections is if L is a very short timespan -- to wit, aliens share the human tendency to blow themselves up.
Other ideas?
October 14 2015, 20:46:10 UTC 5 years ago
Hmm...
October 14 2015, 20:58:00 UTC 5 years ago
*ponder* If the star's visual signature should happen to change as we watch, getting rapidly darker, I would consider that support of this hypothesis.
Re: Hmm...
October 14 2015, 21:01:55 UTC 5 years ago
Not that I know anything about star-scale engineering, but it's what comes to mind!
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October 14 2015, 21:29:33 UTC 5 years ago
That is an excellent idea. In fact, any organized structure would be more likely manufactured than natural. Nature can produce order, but the types of natural occurrence likely to cloud a star are unlikely to be orderly ones.
>> Not that I know anything about star-scale engineering, but it's what comes to mind! <<
I actually do remember a good deal of that, which is terrific for knowing what to look for. Methods of building a Dyson sphere that would be relevant to this context:
* Unbalanced patch build. You build starting from one point in a large segment, which is great for materials management, but you pretty much need gravitic technology to keep it stabilized in progress. Usually seen only in late-stage cultures.
* Balanced patch build. You assemble large sections opposite each other and connect them once you have enough. Basically what you described. Very popular.
* Lattice build. You create a framework and gradually fill in sections. Requires the least extra tech, and is awesomely cost-effective because you can do a staged build. The drawback is you have to make the whole damn lattice before you can install more than crew quarters. The favored option of patient yet precocious cultures.
Re: Hmm...
October 14 2015, 21:46:34 UTC 5 years ago
What Would You Do If You Were President, if it turned out to be in some way clearly artificial? Send a signal or probe? It's 1500 lightyears away, so a manned expedition wouldn't report back in a timely fashion.
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October 14 2015, 22:20:15 UTC 5 years ago
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October 14 2015, 22:40:17 UTC 5 years ago
Could there be a reason they're doing this? Is the reason that we haven't heard from other civilizations that they're all either holing up in their own spheres or dead due to some unknown agency? It'd inspire me to redouble our national efforts to get actively into space... Sending a probe makes sense but only as the capstone of a general space initiative toward being able to deploy our own sphere.
I'd say we need more sensitive space telescopes to be able to analyze what they're building... Maybe there's a clue about why they haven't sent colonizers outward.
Or they may have sent colony ships out already, and this is just the next stage of their home solar system efforts. Either way, hard to do much from at the bottom of the gravity well!
Re: Hmm...
October 15 2015, 01:51:20 UTC 5 years ago
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October 15 2015, 01:53:16 UTC 5 years ago
That would be scary.
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October 15 2015, 02:05:11 UTC 5 years ago
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October 15 2015, 02:17:10 UTC 5 years ago
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October 14 2015, 21:36:31 UTC 5 years ago Edited: October 14 2015, 21:36:55 UTC
Only by people who haven't bothered to read what Dyson himself wrote about it. Not to mention several items of classical mechanics well within the reach of anyone who's ever taken a college physics course. The Wikipedia article has a very readable summary of why a solid structure is a solar-system-wide disaster waiting to happen.
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October 14 2015, 22:18:23 UTC 5 years ago
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October 15 2015, 01:55:57 UTC 5 years ago
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October 15 2015, 03:28:00 UTC 5 years ago
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